Signal History for 2014 - Trading the Line

Signal History for 2014

S/T SIGNALS

Open Date	Type	Signal	In. Stop	Close	Close Date	Gain
01/14/14	S/T BUY	1836		1836	01/21/14	0
01/24/14	S/T SELL	1818	1842	1768	02/06/14	+50
02/06/14	S/T BUY	1768	1758	1845	03/03/14	+77
03/04/14	S/T BUY cont	1854	1844	1868	03/11/14	+24
03/17/14	S/T BUY cont	1859	1851	1857	03/19/14	-2
03/20/14	S/T BUY cont **	1866	1860	1860	03/24/14	-6
03/25/14	S/T BUY cont **	1867	1858	1859	03/26/14	-9
03/31/14	S/T BUY **	1867	1857	1876	04/04/14	+9
04/09/14	S/T BUY **	1866	1860	1857	04/10/14	-9
04/10/14	S/T SELL	1857	1866	1844	04/15/14	+13
04/15/14	S/T BUY	1843	1834	1867	04/25/14	+23
04/28/14	S/T BUY cont	1874	1864	1874	05/05/14	0
05/05/14	S/T BUY cont	1884	1876	1876	04/29/14	-8
05/08/14	S/T BUY cont	1882	1872	1883	05/15/14	+1
05/15/14	S/T SELL *	1871	1882	1886	05/19/14	-11
05/20/14	S/T SELL *	1872	1883	1883	06/12/14	-11
05/21/14	S/T BUY	1883	1974	1939	06/12/14	+56
06/18/14	S/T BUY cont	1944	1934	1952	06/24/14	+8
06/25/14	S/T BUY cont	1959	1949	1968	07/08/14	+ 9
07/14/14	S/T BUY **	1973	1963	1963	07/14/14	-10
07/18/14	S/T BUY **	1977	1964	1967	07/21/14	-10
07/31/14	S/T SELL	1960	1976	1931	08/08/14	+29
08/08/14	S/T BUY	1929	1921	1990	09/05/14	+61
09/05/14	S/T BUY cont.	1998	1996	1992	09/09/14	-6
09/16/14	S/T BUY **	1995	1985	1994	09/22/14	-1
09/2514	S/T SELL	1982	1990	1968	10/03/14	+14
10/03/14	S/T BUY **	1968	1958	1948	10/07/14	-20
10/07/14	S/T SELL	1948	1968	1960	10/08/14	-12
10/08/14	S/T BUY	1960	1954	1949	10/09/14	-10
10/09/14	S/T SELL	1949	1963	1884	10/17/14	+65
10/17/14	S/T BUY	1884	1875	2057	01/12/14	173
12/03/14	S / T BUY cont	2070	2058	2062	12/08/14	-8
12/10/14	S/T SELL	2045	2070	2008	12/17/14	+37
12/17/14	S/T BUY	2013	2001	2075	12/31/14	+62

LT SIGNALS

Open Date	Type	Signal	In. Stop	Close	Close Date	Gain
12/19/13	L/T BUY	1810	1792	1819	01/13/14	+9
01/15/14	L/T BUY **	1848	1826	1828	01/23/14	-20
01/23/14	L/T SELL *	1828	1841	1807	02/11/14	+21
02/11/14	L/T BUY	1807	1798	1845	03/13/14	+38
03/13/14	L/T SELL *	1846	1858	1859	03/17/14	-12
03/26/14	L/T SELL *	1853	1867	1867	03/31/14	-14
04/07/14	L/T SELL *	1845	1868	1868	04/09/14	-23
04/17/14	L/T BUY	1865	1854	1870	05/15/14	+5
05/22/14	L/T BUY	1890	1876	1958	07/17/14	+68
07/17/14	L/T SELL *	1963	1985	1978	07/18/14	-15
07/29/14	L/T SELL	1970	1979	1960	08/18/14	+10
08/18/14	L/T BUY	1960	1947	1985	09/12/14	+25
09/23/14	L/T SELL	1983	2001	1939	10/21/14	+44
10/21/14	L/T BUY	1939	1929	1929	10/22/14	-10
10/23/14	L/T BUY	1942	1926	2026	12/10/14	+84
12/11/14	L/T SELL	2035	2061	2061	12/18/14	-26
12/18/14	L/T BUY	2061	2043	2020	01/05/15	-41

OSC Momentum SIGNALS

Open Date	Type	Signal	In. Stop	Close	Close Date	Gain
01/08/14	OSC SELL	1837	1877	1800	02/10/14	+37
02/10/14	OSC BUY	1799	1737	1872	03/18/14	+73
03/18/14	OSC SELL	1872	1910	1865	04/17/14	+7
04/17/14	OSC BUY	1864	1814	1877	05/16/14	+13
05/16/14	OSC SELL	1877	1926	1911	05/27/14	-34
05/27/14	OSC BUY	1911	1862	1964	07/10/14	+53
07/10/14	OSC SELL	1964	2009	1937	08/11/14	+27
08/11/14	OSC BUY	1937	1904	1997	09/11/14	+60
09/11/14	OSC SELL	1997	2036	1903	10/20/14	+94
10/20/14	OSC BUY	1904		2075	12/05/14	+171
12/05/14	OSC SELL	2075	2098	2070	12/19/14	-5
12/19/14	OSC BUY	2070	1973	2020	01/05/15	-50

Positions Closed within 2014

S/T SIGNALS	+578
L/T SIGNALS	+184
OSC SIGNALS	+496

Max Drawdown during losing streak

-42

FILTERS

1] Use 8/21 Short Alert confirmation to filter out S/T and L/T SELL SIGNALS *

2] Do not trade against the OSC SIGNAL for 20 days **

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“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
- Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
- Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
- Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

STATUS

LONG TERM (Monthly): BULLISH
MEDIUM TERM (Weekly): BULLISH
SHORT TERM (Daily): S/T BUY SIGNAL

T VOLUME Osc: POSITIVE
OSC: POSITIVE

2023 POSITIONS

(All numbers refer to SPX)
S/T BUY Signal at 4159 on 25 May
COVER Short Signal above 4127 on 25 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4127 on 24 May
COVER Signal at 4165 on 23 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4133 on 17 May
COVER Signal at 4119 on 16 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4110 on 05 May
COVER Short Signal above 4090 on 05 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4109 on 03 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4144 on 03 May
COVER Short Signal above 4115 on 02 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4115 on 02 May
COVER Signal at 4131 on 02 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4105 on 27 April
COVER Short Signal above 4070 on 27 April
S/T SELL Signal at 4092 on 25 April
COVER Signal at 4134 on 20 April
S/T BUY Signal at 3959 on 24 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3924 on 24 March
COVER Signal at 3939 on 23 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3924 on 23 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3959 on 23 March
COVER Signal at 3945 on 22 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3915 on 16 March
COVER Signal at 3996 on 16 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3881 on 16 March
COVER Signal at 3965 on 15 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3919 on 14 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3976 on 09 March
COVER Signal at 3991 on 09 March
S/T BUY Signal at 4011 on 09 March
COVER Signal at 3991 on 08 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3991 on 07 March
COVER Signal at 4006 on 07 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3987 on 03 March
COVER Signal at 3968 on 03 March
S/T SELL Signal at 4070 on 17 February
COVER Signal at 4120 on 16 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4114 on 13 February
COVER Signal at 4116 on 09 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4044 on 09 February
COVER Signal at 4120 on 08 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4039 on 31 January
COVER Signal at 4025 on 30 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3946 on 20 January
COVER Signal at 3958 on 18 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3837 on 06 January
S/T SELL Signal at 3813 on 05 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3840 on 04 January
COVER Signal at 3825 on 03 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3833 on 29 December

HISTORY

2022 POSITIONS

2021 POSITIONS

2020 POSITIONS

2019 POSITIONS

2018 POSITIONS

2017 POSITIONS

2016 POSITIONS

2015 POSITIONS

2014 POSITIONS

2013 POSITIONS

MISSION

It has been my Mission to create a simple but effective method for investing in the stock market, so that I would always know what to do regardless of the circumstances.
The result is a rigorous system which allows the market to tell you what to do, when to Buy, when to Hold, when to Cover, and when to Sell, and it removes the need for you to have any opinion whatsoever.
And so, I present to you the diary of my personal trading system, and a record of the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow me along but please understand that the information posted here is for entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Please sign up for my occasional FREE REPORTS and if you would like to find out more and receive my email alerts and more detailed observations, please SIGN UP HERE

CONTACT ME

tradingtheline@gmail.com

TOOLBOX

T Theory Volume Oscillator
Terry Laundry's Magic T Volume oscillator

WSJ Market Data Center
Advanced / Decline Volumes

ARMS Index (TRIN)

SKEW
Black Swan indicator

CPCE
CBOE Equity PUT/Call Ratio

CPC
CBOE Total PUT/Call Ratio

NYMO
NYSE McClellan Oscillator

VIX
Volatility Index

VVIX
Volatility of Volatility Index

RECOMMENDED WEBSITES

Bob Karrow: Stock Market Observations
A fantastic resource with great insights from Bob Karrow and includes an extensive archive of Terry Laundry T Theory observations

GUNNER24 Forecasts
Fascinating Gann based analysis

Finviz
Very useful portfolio and stock screener

Stockcharts
Fantastic Charting resource

RECOMMENDED READING

Martin Schwartz: Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Trader

The first light really went on when reading Pit Bull by Marty Schwartz and if you haven’t read it I could not recommend it more highly. Marty Schwartz talks about Green Light / Red Light and Terry Laundry’s Magic T Theory - both very important concepts.

Jack D Schwager: Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders

"Market Wizards is one of the most fascinating books ever written about Wall Street. A few of the ′Wizards′ are my friends—and Jack Schwager has nailed their modus operandi on the head." – Martin W. Zweig, Ph.D., Editor, The Zweig Forecast

I thoroughly recommend all of Jack's books.

Victor Sperandeo: Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master

A really insightful book. Great section on economics.

"Victor Sperandeo is gifted with one of the finest minds I know. No wonder he′s compiled such an amazing record of success as a money manager. Every investor can benefit from the wisdom he offers in his new book. Don′t miss it!" - Paul Tudor Jones Tudor Investment Corporation

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MORE RECOMMENDED READING

Reminiscences of a Stock Operator: Annotated Edition by Jon D. Markman

With new commentary and Insights on the life and times of Jesse Livermore Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is the fictionalized biography of perhaps the most famous financial speculator of all time–Jesse Livermore. This annotated edition bridges the gap between Edwin Lefevre′s fictionalized account of Livermore′s life and the actual, historical events, places, and people that populate the book. It also describes the variety of trading approaches Livermore used throughout his life and analyzes his psychological development as a trader and the lessons gained through hard experiences.

“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
- Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
- Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
- Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.
- George Orwell

There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.
- The Gambler (2014), Dir. Rupert Wyatt

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