Signal History for 2013

 S/T (Short Term) SIGNALS

 Open Date  Type  Signal  In. Stop  Close  Close Date  Gain
 12/31/12  S/T BUY **  1425  1416  1500  02/04/13  75
 02/05/13  S/T BUY cont.  1505  1500  1503  02/07/13  -2
 02/08/13  S/T BUY cont.  1511  1507  1519  02/20/13  8
 02/25/13  S/T BUY **  1518  1510  1510  02/25/13  -8
 02/25/13  S/T SELL  1508  1509  1507  02/27/13  0
 02/27/13  S/T BUY **  1507  1503  1505  03/01/13  -2
 03/01/13  S/T BUY **  1513  1508  1552  03/18/13  39
 03/20/13  S/T BUY  1556  1550  1550  03/21/13  -6
 03/22/13  S/T BUY cont **  1556  1549  1549  03/25/13  -7
 03/26/13  S/T BUY cont **  1556  1552  1552  03/27/13  -4
 03/28/13  S/T BUY cont **  1563  1558  1560  04/03/13  -3
 04/08/13  S/T BUY cont **  1562  1554  1578  04/15/13  16
 04/17/13  S/T SELL  1561  1569  1561  04/22/13  0
 04/22/13  S/T BUY **  1561  1553  1583  05/01/13  22
 05/02/13  S/T BUY cont  1590  1582  1657  05/22/13  67
 05/28/13  S/T BUY cont  1658  1651  1651  05/29/13  -7
 05/31/13  S/T SELL *  1641  1650  1631  06/07/13  10
 06/07/13  S/T BUY **  1631  1623  1631  06/11/13  0
 06/11/13  S/T SELL  1628  1640  1630  06/13/13  -2
 06/13/13  S/T BUY **  1630  1621  1632  06/19/13  2
 06/19/13  S/T SELL  1632  1641  1598  06/26/13  34
 06/26/13  S/T BUY  1598  1590  1683  08/07/13  85
 08/14/13  S/T SELL  1686  1697  1658  08/22/13  28
 08/23/13  S/T BUY **  1663  1653  1642  08/27/13  -21
 08/27/13  S/T SELL  1642  1661  1643  09/03/13  -1
 09/04/13  S/T BUY  1653  1639  1643  09/06/13  -10
 09/09/13  S/T BUY  1660  1652  1705  09/23/13  45
 10/03/13  S/T SELL  1688  1697  1672  10/10/13  16
 10/10/13  S/T BUY  1692  1664  1756  10/31/13  64
 11/01/13  S/T Buy cont.  1764  1755  1758  11/05/13  -6
 11/06/13  S/T Buy cont.  1767  1758  1760  11/07/13  -7
 11/08/13  S/T Buy cont.  1763  1754  1782  11/20/13  19
 11/21/13  S/T Buy cont.  1790  1780  1797  12/03/13  7
 12/06/13  S/T Buy **  1798  1789  1796  12/11/13  -2
 12/11/13  S/T SELL  1792  1799  1788  12/18/13  -4
 12/18/13  S/T BUY  1788  1779  1834  01/02/14  46

 L/T (Long Term) SIGNALS

 Open Date  Type  Signal  In. Stop  Close  Close Date  Gain
 12/28/12  L/T SELL *  1402  1424  1426  01/03/13  -22
 01/02/13  L/T BUY **  1448  1422  1502  02/21/13  54
 02/21/13  L/T SELL *  1502  1513  1515  02/22/13  -11
 02/28/13  L/T BUY **  1514  1508  1553  04/05/13  39
 04/09/13  L/T BUY **  1568  1555  1552  04/15/13  -14
 04/18/13  L/T SELL  1541  1566  1567  04/23/13  -26
 04/23/13  L/T BUY **  1578  1562  1630  05/31/13  68
 06/04/13  L/T SELL *  1631  1650  1651  06/18/13  -20
 06/18/13  L/T BUY  1651  1636  1635  06/19/13  -16
 07/05/13  L/T BUY  1632  1614  1685  08/14/13  71
 08/14/13  L/T SELL  1685  1696  1671  09/09/13  14
 09/09/13  L/T BUY  1671  1630  1681  09/30/13  10
 10/07/13  L/T SELL  1676  1691  1692  10/10/13  -16
 10/11/13  L/T BUY  1703  1689  1782  12/11/13  79
 12/19/13  L/T BUY  1809  1792  1828  01/23/14  19

 

OSC Momentum SIGNALS

 Open Date  Type  Signal  In. Stop  Close  Close Date  Gain
 12/28/12  OSC SELL  1402  1475  1459  01/03/13  -57
 01/04/13  OSC BUY  1466  1401  1430  02/19/13  29
 02/19/13  OSC SELL  1430  1551  1442  03/06/13  -12
 03/06/13  OSC BUY  1541  1487  1545  03/21/13  4
 03/21/13  OSC SELL  1545  1589  1587  04/10/13  -42
 04/12/13  OSC BUY  1588  1540  1552  04/17/13  -36
 04/17/13  OSC SELL  1552  1619  1585  04/25/13  -33
 05/02/13  OSC BUY  1585  1537  1630  05/31/13  45
 05/31/13  OSC SELL  1630  1704  1615  07/01/13  15
 07/01/13  OSC BUY  1615  1560  1689  08/12/13  74
 08/12/13  OSC SELL  1689  1737  1655  09/06/13  34
 09/06/13  OSC BUY  1655  1627  1698  09/26/13  43
 09/26/13  OSC SELL  1698  1760  1698  10/15/13  0
 10/15/13  OSC BUY  1698  1648  1800  12/02/13  102
 12/03/13  OSC SELL 1795  1835  1818  12/20/13  -23
 12/20/13  OSC BUY  1818  1769  1837  01/07/14  19

Positions Closed within 2013

 S/T SIGNALS
  445
 L/T SIGNALS
  210
 OSC SIGNALS
  143

 

 Max Drawdown during losing streak not inc. OSC
  29

 

FILTERS

1] Use 8/21 Short Alert confirmation to filter out S/T and L/T SELL SIGNALS *

2] Do not trade against the OSC SIGNAL for 20 days **

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“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
- Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
- Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
- Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

STATUS

LONG TERM (Monthly): BULLISH
MEDIUM TERM (Weekly): BULLISH
SHORT TERM (Daily): S/T BUY SIGNAL

T VOLUME Osc: POSITIVE
OSC: POSITIVE

2023 POSITIONS

(All numbers refer to SPX)
S/T BUY Signal at 4159 on 25 May
COVER Short Signal above 4127 on 25 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4127 on 24 May
COVER Signal at 4165 on 23 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4133 on 17 May
COVER Signal at 4119 on 16 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4110 on 05 May
COVER Short Signal above 4090 on 05 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4109 on 03 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4144 on 03 May
COVER Short Signal above 4115 on 02 May
S/T SELL Signal at 4115 on 02 May
COVER Signal at 4131 on 02 May
S/T BUY Signal at 4105 on 27 April
COVER Short Signal above 4070 on 27 April
S/T SELL Signal at 4092 on 25 April
COVER Signal at 4134 on 20 April
S/T BUY Signal at 3959 on 24 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3924 on 24 March
COVER Signal at 3939 on 23 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3924 on 23 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3959 on 23 March
COVER Signal at 3945 on 22 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3915 on 16 March
COVER Signal at 3996 on 16 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3881 on 16 March
COVER Signal at 3965 on 15 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3919 on 14 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3976 on 09 March
COVER Signal at 3991 on 09 March
S/T BUY Signal at 4011 on 09 March
COVER Signal at 3991 on 08 March
S/T SELL Signal at 3991 on 07 March
COVER Signal at 4006 on 07 March
S/T BUY Signal at 3987 on 03 March
COVER Signal at 3968 on 03 March
S/T SELL Signal at 4070 on 17 February
COVER Signal at 4120 on 16 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4114 on 13 February
COVER Signal at 4116 on 09 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4044 on 09 February
COVER Signal at 4120 on 08 February
S/T BUY Signal at 4039 on 31 January
COVER Signal at 4025 on 30 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3946 on 20 January
COVER Signal at 3958 on 18 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3837 on 06 January
S/T SELL Signal at 3813 on 05 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3840 on 04 January
COVER Signal at 3825 on 03 January
S/T BUY Signal at 3833 on 29 December

HISTORY

2022 POSITIONS

2021 POSITIONS

2020 POSITIONS

2019 POSITIONS

2018 POSITIONS

2017 POSITIONS

2016 POSITIONS

2015 POSITIONS

2014 POSITIONS

2013 POSITIONS

MISSION

It has been my Mission to create a simple but effective method for investing in the stock market, so that I would always know what to do regardless of the circumstances.
The result is a rigorous system which allows the market to tell you what to do, when to Buy, when to Hold, when to Cover, and when to Sell, and it removes the need for you to have any opinion whatsoever.
And so, I present to you the diary of my personal trading system, and a record of the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow me along but please understand that the information posted here is for entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Please sign up for my occasional FREE REPORTS and if you would like to find out more and receive my email alerts and more detailed observations, please SIGN UP HERE

CONTACT ME

  • tradingtheline@gmail.com

TOOLBOX

T Theory Volume Oscillator
Terry Laundry's Magic T Volume oscillator

WSJ Market Data Center
Advanced / Decline Volumes

ARMS Index (TRIN)

SKEW
Black Swan indicator

CPCE
CBOE Equity PUT/Call Ratio

CPC
CBOE Total PUT/Call Ratio

NYMO
NYSE McClellan Oscillator

VIX
Volatility Index

VVIX
Volatility of Volatility Index

RECOMMENDED WEBSITES

Bob Karrow: Stock Market Observations
A fantastic resource with great insights from Bob Karrow and includes an extensive archive of Terry Laundry T Theory observations

GUNNER24 Forecasts
Fascinating Gann based analysis

Finviz
Very useful portfolio and stock screener

Stockcharts
Fantastic Charting resource

RECOMMENDED READING

Martin Schwartz: Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Trader
Martin Schwartz: Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Trader

The first light really went on when reading Pit Bull by Marty Schwartz and if you haven’t read it I could not recommend it more highly. Marty Schwartz talks about Green Light / Red Light and Terry Laundry’s Magic T Theory - both very important concepts.

Jack D Schwager: Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders
Jack D Schwager: Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders

"Market Wizards is one of the most fascinating books ever written about Wall Street. A few of the ′Wizards′ are my friends—and Jack Schwager has nailed their modus operandi on the head." – Martin W. Zweig, Ph.D., Editor, The Zweig Forecast

I thoroughly recommend all of Jack's books.

Victor Sperandeo: Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master
Victor Sperandeo: Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master

A really insightful book. Great section on economics.

"Victor Sperandeo is gifted with one of the finest minds I know. No wonder he′s compiled such an amazing record of success as a money manager. Every investor can benefit from the wisdom he offers in his new book. Don′t miss it!" - Paul Tudor Jones Tudor Investment Corporation

Categories

Archives

MORE RECOMMENDED READING

Reminiscences of a Stock Operator: Annotated Edition by Jon D. Markman
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator: Annotated Edition by Jon D. Markman

With new commentary and Insights on the life and times of Jesse Livermore Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is the fictionalized biography of perhaps the most famous financial speculator of all time–Jesse Livermore. This annotated edition bridges the gap between Edwin Lefevre′s fictionalized account of Livermore′s life and the actual, historical events, places, and people that populate the book. It also describes the variety of trading approaches Livermore used throughout his life and analyzes his psychological development as a trader and the lessons gained through hard experiences.

“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
- Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
- Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
- Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.
- George Orwell

There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.
- The Gambler (2014), Dir. Rupert Wyatt

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